[22:59] Samson: Wow. I actually beat you to the obligatory State of the Union blog post? :P
[23:00] Dwip: I didn't even know it was tonight.
[23:00] Dwip: I suppose I'll need to go find a transcript.
Yeah, oops. This is what happens when I stop paying attention to the news, because the news proves itself to be increasing irrelevant every single day.
So I guess I'll blather about it a bit, since Samson did. And I shall do so using Sarah's favorite Thomas Friedman quote: Some things are true even if George Bush says they are.
Going down the list, here, and for those of you following at home, the transcript is here.
Whatever else, giving the nod to Pelosi as the first female Speaker was classy on Bush's part. Nevermind Pelosi herself.
We're winning the economy. This has been obvious for a while, and having been job hunting during the last recession, thank fuck we are winning it. Now let's keep it that way.
We need to fix Social Security and etc. I think we all know this. Thanks for not proposing a plan. I'm sure Congress is perfectly capable of messing it up by themselves.
I am utterly neutral on Bush's call to renew No Child Left Behind. I've heard good, I've heard bad. Has it, by itself, fixed all the problems in my old schools? Probably not. Can't legislate that sort of fix.
I find Bush's health care proposals, particularly the tax credit, interesting, but I'm not sure what I think. I've always had employer or student health insurance, so I'm unsure what it costs those people who don't have it, but I find it hard to believe it's either 7 or 15k. I note that despite the message that it's all to "save the elderly," you probably aren't going to be accomplishing that with a tax credit.
As to immigration, I don't really have a horse in that fight. On the one hand, I'm all for letting people who want to be Americans do so. On the other hand, the illegal thing is out of hand. I think ultimately that if we want to fix the problem, we have to fix Mexico, but how to do so and if we even could is utterly beyond me. I will say if the whole Fortress America fence thing works, I'll be amazed.
I read the whole energy section as "Yeah, let's decrease our dependence on foreign oil! Go alternative fuels! And between the lines I'm really saying let's drill the ANWR!" He's right on at least 2 of 3 of those. On the other hand, you know the fanatic wing of the Democratic party is going to somehow take that to mean we need to suck Iraq dry of oil. I'd take bets. Easy money.
That business about "how dare you impede my nominees" at the end of the section was really, really strange, no matter what else it was. More than a little bizzare.
As to the war on terror and Iraq, well. Two quotes:
This is not the fight we entered in Iraq, but it is the fight we are in. Every one of us wishes that this war were over and won. Yet it would not be like us to leave our promises unkept, our friends abandoned, and our own security at risk. Ladies and gentlemen: On this day, at this hour, it is still within our power to shape the outcome of this battle. So let us find our resolve, and turn events toward victory.
and
The war on terror we fight today is a generational struggle that will continue long after you and I have turned our duties over to others. That is why it is important to work together so our Nation can see this great effort through. Both parties and both branches should work in close consultation.
And you know what, he's right about both of those. And he's right in asking for troop increases, though I wish he'd have done it four or five years ago. I also wish we all didn't look like fools for that post-invasion thing in Iraq. Bit late there, alas. Doesn't mean we can't still get it right. Have to get it right.
Also, Democratic Congress, could you listen to the man and please do something constructive in regards to this? It's all I want from you. Please, please do not fuck this one up. It's important. Thanks.
My first thoughts on the AIDS/Africa section? This Megatokyo strip, substituting Bush for the cardboard guy, and Bono for Romero. Hi Bono, we love you too.
And on the personal stories note, jumping in front of a train is some shit. Like, wow.
Posted by Dwip at January 23, 2007 9:43 PMApparently, I haven't ranted to you about NCLB enough. :P It is so seriously flawed, I'm amazed that anyone who has ever taken a math class can support it. We need a mass uprising of statisticians to help shoot it down.
You see, the law legislates that by 2014 or some such year, 100% of children will be at grade level, regardless of disability, race, or whether they even come to school (although we will also be penalized if they don't come to school, with no power to enforce attendance laws).
To that end, it bumps up the requirement of the percentage of kids who need to be at grade level by 5% each year. I think we're at about 60% this year, but honestly I don't remember.
I have issues with that in general, considering that you don't make kids get to grade level by legislating that they do so, and the law has no resources to help teachers or kids achieve the legislated requirements.
For example, our school has a student who is a 3rd grader, and who just moved to town in the middle of the year this year (so, we weren't even providing the education that was supposed to get him to grade level the other years). He has some sort of Downs Syndrome type disability, but he has not yet been diagnosed (we're working on getting that to happen). He does not yet recognize colors, letters, or numbers, you see. He can't write his name. But, according to NCLB, we have to give him the state reading and math test this year, because yippee, he's a 3rd grader. We get penalized, and could lose funding, if he (and others in similar, if not so extreme situations) don't pass the test. Did we get worse as teachers? No, but we can't control who comes to our school, and some of us teachers prefer to stay where we're needed instead of flying away to affluent schools where our test scores would make us look like better teachers.
But, the bigger problem lies with the testing results themselves. First of all, there is no national test, funding for testing, or definition of "grade level". That's up to the states. Texas, which sets the bar relatively low, for example, appears to be doing rather well at the moment. IIRC, their "passing" score was set at about the 31st NCE (more on that later).
Secondly, the test doesn't measure the same group of kids every year. This year, our school has 54 3rd graders, so our primary grades' improvement or lack thereof will be based upon how this group of 54 3rd graders compares with last year's group of 70-something 3rd graders. You're not even testing the same kids from year to year, so you can't really call fluctuations in test scores improvement. There is no procedure in the law to measure growth over time. Just a mandate that certain students be at certain levels, even if they just moved to your school 2 weeks earlier.
Also, "Grade Level" is apparently determined by states by setting a cut score, below which is not passing and therefore not at grade level. The cut scores are set by a committee by looking at test results and setting an arbitrary number that will result in x percentage of kids passing.
So, in Texas, "grade level" is at about the 31st NCE on a nationally normed test. However, since you're using a nationally normed test, that means that, statistically speaking, there HAS TO BE kids who score under the cutoff score. It's not statistically possible for 100% percent of kids to be at the 31st NCE or above. If they were, the test would be renormed until that was not the case.
In Oregon, here's the document explaining the new (toughened) cut scores for this school year- http://www.ode.state.or.us/teachlearn/standards/contentperformance/prelimstds_rms_12132006.pdf . How can we, as a state, expect to get to the point where 100% of students are on grade level, when measured by a test that is set so that 65-82% of kids pass (depending upon grade)? If we get better as educators, then the cut scores will go up. For example, at elementary school, a lot of kids have been passing, and at the high school level, many have been failing. So, they revised the numbers so that it's easier to pass in high school, and harder to pass in elementary.
If we have been doing better in elementary, the current law would not show it until this group of kids gets to the higher grades where current high schoolers are failing! Yet, kids are not tracked longitudianally, so we will never know. Instead, cut scores are reset every so often to make the bean counters happy.
In the short term, there have been some schools that have improved under NCLB. I think it's a good thing that schools have been required to ensure that their minority groups (race, SES, language learners, etc) are making progress. It's about fucking time. But, I also recognize that this was put in there as a smoke and mirrors campaign to make dems look bad if they didn't support the bill.
In the short term, schools with low performing kids, and schools who have been shortchanging some of their minority populations have had to scramble to put something together. This is a very good thing.
In the long run, I believe that it is designed with the intention of creating a nation of "failing" public schools. There are people who don't want to stop at charter schools and vouchers, but who want to destroy the public education system as a concept. This will be much easier to do if the public believes that our entire system of public schools is failing. Under NCLB as it is currently written, they will even have data that shows that (if schools stay exactly the same and no changes are made to test or cut scores) schools got further and further away (5% further away every year, as written in the law, heh) from having enough kids achieve the required test scores every year. Oh no! Clearly the public school system is FAILING! Whatever can we do to replace the system?
It's a house of cards. A ticking time bomb. I only hope we have the sense to get some significant changes made to this law before the music stops.
Posted by: Griselda at January 23, 2007 11:21 PMGood rant. I liked it. And felt rather informed by it.
I think I have thoughts on the subject, but I also think it's 3am here and I'm awfully tired. Later, perhaps.
...Has any pri/sec level standardized test ever been worth a thing, we wonder?
Posted by: Dwip at January 24, 2007 12:11 AMNCLB is one of those federal welfare state type of programs that should never have existed. It's part of Big Government(tm). These sort of matters should be left to state and local entities to decide. The feds have no business wasting tax dollars on stuff like this.
That being said, even before NCLB and it's flawed statistical model, our public school system was failing. It has been for at least the last 20 years or so. I've been witness to it firsthand here on the battlefields of Southern California. No, it's not because the teachers suck. It isn't because the American students suck. It's because the feds insist that we waste our time and money educating their next crop of illegal aliens who just crossed over from Mexico the summer before and can't even speak English.
The system wastes so much effort doing this that the other kids get frustrated, act out, and cause trouble. Of course, it does NOT help that their parents don't give a crap either. Which is the other part of the problem. Parents who don't give a crap about school or education produce kids who don't care. These people use public school as a glorified babysitting service.
No, the only true solution to this problem is for the federal government to get out of the scam of public education and leave it to the locals to deal with. The way it should have always been. Reagan had it right when he campaigned with the plank in his platform to abolish the Dept. of Education. He just didn't count on Congress essentially telling him to fuck off.
Posted by: Samson at January 24, 2007 7:47 PM